We, the founder and members of the board of I.S.E.P., the International Society of Earthquake Precursors, believe that earthquake prediction is a science and technology, and, yes, also the art of obtaining information about impending seismic events from lithospheric, atmospheric, ionospheric and other natural sources.
The scientists and academicians who have created I.S.E.P. believe that, while the mechanisms leading to earthquakes have their origin in the lithosphere, the underlying processes also find expressions in atmospheric and the ionospheric phenomena. Many of them recognize that the mechanisms leading to earthquakes may also be related to an even greater scenario, i.e. the movements and positions of the earth, the earth-moon system, planetary movements and positions within the solar system etc.
They believe that work contributed by amateur researchers, dedicated to the field, and observations by laypersons from around the world and through the ages, are valuable. They believe that such work and such observations need to be taken into account to arrive at a better understanding of the complexity of the earthquake process, and recognize that their observations should and could play an important role at community level in prediction of earthquakes and other natural hazards.
Even though many earthquake-related anomalies within and on the ground, in the atmosphere and ionosphere have been reported for decades, some even for centuries, today’s seismology-centered science community refuses to take these observations into account. In the meantime, earthquakes continue to strike for which a forewarning could have been issued, people continue to die or to be injured, and economic losses continue to incur in the range of billions of dollars, often a sizeable fraction of the GNP of the countries affected by the disasters.
Before weather predictions became widely accepted, the scientific community had to spend decades learning about climatology and the physical laws that govern the complex interactions between the air masses, the land and the oceans at all scales. The scientific community concerned with weather forecasts had to consider historical data, collect extraordinarily large amounts of present, real-time data, and build satellites to monitor the Ocean-atmosphere system. If earthquake predictions are to become as effective – or as routine - as today’s weather predictions, science has to move away from the conventional, predominantly seismological approach.
I.S.E.P. is a non-governmental international organization, devoted to the development of the international cooperation for the advancement of knowledge, research, development, education and training in the sciences of earthquake early warning, of the integration and application, with the goal to contribute to the well-being of humanity and the sustainability of the environment.
Another goal of I.S.E.P. is to create a foundation legally entitled to accept donations and grants aimed at helping its members to carry out their research. The members will protect the independence of their work and will adhere to stringent ethical rules governing their research.
Their projects and the results of the work of the members, especially their experiences in cases of successful earthquake predictions, will be published on the I.S.E.P. web site, in journals and report documents.
Members of the general public who want to make donations or governmental agencies who are willing to consider grants will be able to consult the I.S.E.P. web site or journal articles or newsletter reports.
The members will be entitled to write articles in scientific and popular media to promote their research with reference to their affiliation to I.S.E.P.
Earthquakes are the most deadly of all natural disasters worldwide.